Skip to content

Opportunity Assessment

The Opportunity Assessment follows Marty Cagan's SVPG 10-question framework for evaluating product opportunities before committing resources.

Overview

This canvas implements the framework from Assessing Product Opportunities by Marty Cagan of Silicon Valley Product Group (SVPG).

Unlike Jeff Patton's Opportunity Canvas which focuses on discovery and user value, Cagan's framework emphasizes business case rigor and go/no-go decision making.

The 10 Questions

# Question Box Name
1 Exactly what problem will this solve? Value Proposition
2 For whom do we solve that problem? Target Market
3 How big is the opportunity? Market Size
4 What alternatives are out there? Competitive Landscape
5 Why are we best suited to pursue this? Our Differentiator
6 Why now? Market Window
7 How will we get this product to market? Go-to-Market Strategy
8 How will we measure success/make money? Metrics/Revenue Strategy
9 What factors are critical to success? Solution Requirements
10 Given the above, what's the recommendation? Go/No-Go Decision

Grid Layout

| 1. Value Proposition     | 2. Target Market         |
| 3. Market Size           | 4. Competitive Landscape |
| 5. Our Differentiator    | 6. Market Window         |
| 7. Go-to-Market Strategy | 8. Metrics/Revenue       |
| 9. Solution Requirements | 10. Recommendation       |

Go Types

type OpportunityAssessment struct {
    Metadata             Metadata
    ValueProposition     OAValueProposition     // Box 1
    TargetMarket         OATargetMarket         // Box 2
    MarketSize           OAMarketSize           // Box 3
    CompetitiveLandscape OACompetitiveLandscape // Box 4
    Differentiator       OADifferentiator       // Box 5
    MarketWindow         OAMarketWindow         // Box 6
    GoToMarket           OAGoToMarketStrategy   // Box 7
    MetricsRevenue       OAMetricsRevenue       // Box 8
    SolutionRequirements OASolutionRequirements // Box 9
    Recommendation       OARecommendation       // Box 10
    PRDRef               *PRDReference
}

Box Details

Box 1: Value Proposition

"Exactly what problem will this solve?"

Field Description
problemStatement Clear statement of the problem
customerPains Specific pain points addressed
desiredOutcomes What customers want to achieve
currentState How things work today
futureState How things will work with solution

Box 2: Target Market

"For whom do we solve that problem?"

Field Description
primarySegment Main target segment
secondarySegments Additional segments
personas Specific user personas
industries Target industries
geography Geographic focus
companySize SMB, Mid-market, Enterprise

Box 3: Market Size

"How big is the opportunity?"

Field Description
tam Total Addressable Market
sam Serviceable Addressable Market
som Serviceable Obtainable Market
growthRate Market growth rate
marketTrends Key trends affecting size
dataSources Where estimates come from

Box 4: Competitive Landscape

"What alternatives are out there?"

Field Description
directCompetitors Head-to-head competitors
indirectCompetitors Alternative solutions
substitutes Non-product alternatives
marketDynamics Competitive dynamics
entryBarriers Barriers to entry

Box 5: Our Differentiator

"Why are we best suited to pursue this?"

Field Description
coreStrengths What we do well
uniqueCapabilities What only we can do
strategicAssets Assets we can leverage
teamExpertise Relevant team experience
technologyEdge Technical advantages
unfairAdvantage What's hard to replicate

Box 6: Market Window

"Why now?"

Field Description
whyNow Primary reason for timing
marketTriggers Events creating opportunity
technologyShifts Tech changes enabling this
regulatoryChanges Regulatory drivers
competitorMoves Competitor timing
windowDuration How long window is open
urgencyLevel high, medium, low

Box 7: Go-to-Market Strategy

"How will we get this product to market?"

Field Description
strategy Overall GTM approach
channels Distribution channels
salesModel Self-serve, sales-led, PLG
partnerships Key partnerships needed
launchApproach Beta, GA, etc.
customerAcquisition How to acquire customers
estimatedCAC Customer acquisition cost

Box 8: Metrics/Revenue Strategy

"How will we measure success/make money?"

Field Description
primaryMetric North star metric
secondaryMetrics Supporting metrics
leadingIndicators Early signals of success
revenueModel Subscription, usage, etc.
pricingStrategy How to price
estimatedRevenue Revenue potential
timeToRevenue When revenue starts

Box 9: Solution Requirements

"What factors are critical to success?"

Field Description
mustHaveCapabilities Non-negotiable features
technicalRequirements Technical needs
integrationNeeds Required integrations
complianceNeeds Regulatory/compliance
scalabilityNeeds Scale requirements
keyDependencies External dependencies
criticalRisks Risks to mitigate

Box 10: Recommendation

"Given the above, what's the recommendation?"

Field Description
decision go, no-go, conditional, defer
rationale Why this decision
confidence high, medium, low
keyAssumptions Assumptions behind decision
nextSteps What to do next
conditions Conditions for conditional go
reviewDate When to revisit if deferred
timelineEstimate Time to deliver
resourcesRequired Team/resources needed
investmentAsk Budget requested

Usage Example

oa := canvas.NewOpportunityAssessment("oa-mobile", "Mobile App Assessment")

oa.ValueProposition = canvas.OAValueProposition{
    ProblemStatement: "Field teams cannot access critical data without WiFi",
    CustomerPains:    []string{"Delayed decisions", "Manual workarounds"},
    DesiredOutcomes:  []string{"Real-time access", "Offline capability"},
}

oa.TargetMarket = canvas.OATargetMarket{
    PrimarySegment: "Enterprise field service teams",
    CompanySize:    "Enterprise (1000+ employees)",
}

oa.MarketSize = canvas.OAMarketSize{
    TAM: "$5B",
    SAM: "$1.2B",
    SOM: "$150M",
}

oa.Recommendation = canvas.OARecommendation{
    Decision:   "go",
    Rationale:  "Strong market need, clear differentiation, aligned with strategy",
    Confidence: "high",
    NextSteps:  []string{"Form team", "Validate with 5 customers"},
}

// Check decision
if oa.IsGo() && oa.HasHighConfidence() {
    fmt.Println("Ready to proceed!")
}

Comparison with Opportunity Canvas

Aspect Opportunity Canvas (Patton) Opportunity Assessment (Cagan)
Focus Discovery & validation Business case rigor
Output Understanding opportunity Go/no-go decision
Users PM/UX discovery Executive investment decision
Depth User problems, solutions Market size, competitive moats
Budget Learning investment Full investment ask

When to Use

Use the Opportunity Assessment when:

  • Seeking investment approval for a new initiative
  • Evaluating whether to enter a new market
  • Making a go/no-go decision on a significant project
  • Need to present a business case to executives

Use the Opportunity Canvas (Patton) when:

  • Exploring and validating a problem space
  • Running discovery with users
  • Iterating on solution concepts
  • Team alignment on opportunity understanding

See Also